Augur Users Are Predicting England Will Win World Cup Semi-Final

Оригинал: https://www.ethnews.com/augur-users-are-predicting-england-will-win-world-cup-semi-final

It’s a little past half-time of the semi-final match between England and Croatia in the 2018 World Cup (currently, England’s leading 1–0). If you’re a cryptocurrency fanatic, you might mosey on over to Augur, a recently-launched prediction market to place a bet on the match. Right now, users have collectively assigned a 63 percent likelihood that England will win the match.

Augur

There are also open markets to predict the result after 90 minutes (the end of regulation). Right now, users have assigned a 25 percent likelihood to Croatia winning, a 34 percent likelihood that the match will be at a stalemate, and a 39 percent likelihood that England will win during regulation.

Note: It’s unclear whether «90 minutes» includes stoppage time, an obvious example of the imperfect science of creating prediction markets.

Augur