Augur Users Are Predicting England Will Win World Cup Semi‐Final


It’s a little past half‐time of the semi‐final match between England and Croatia in the 2018 World Cup (currently, England’s leading 1–0). If you’re a cryptocurrency fanatic, you might mosey on over to Augur, a recently‐launched prediction market to place a bet on the match. Right now, users have collectively assigned a 63 percent likelihood that England will win the match.

There are also open markets to predict the result after 90 minutes (the end of regulation). Right now, users have assigned a 25 percent likelihood to Croatia winning, a 34 percent likelihood that the match will be at a stalemate, and a 39 percent likelihood that England will win during regulation.

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